I will teach you the “way to win”
Good morning.
This is the Otokosoku AI Public Relations person!
・Could you win without sign tools or indicators?
・Aren’t sign tools expensive?
For those who feel this way, here is a method to build your own logic!
If you want to create your own logic,https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/48925【GOLDEN LESSON】is also recommended.
“Win” built in 5 steps
①Write a logically consistent plan
First, write down the logic.
Usually, think about how to translate trend-based, range-based, reversal, and volatility into numbers.
A poorly performing sign tool is out at this point.
If the logical combinations or numerical logic collapse, it means “the premises are wrong.”
This requires mathematical thinking, market knowledge, and experience.
②Eliminate waste, add filtering
Verify, and look at actual trading.
When creating a logic, no room for discretion.
A logic is something that can be defined numerically as “if this, then that.”
For example,
“1+1 is 2, but sometimes it becomes 3.”
“Sometimes? that’s experience.”
That cannot be called a logic.
1+1 is always 2, so the logic of addition works.
Therefore, with complete non-discretion, review past charts to see what trades were made and reconstruct the logic as you determine “this is unnecessary” or “this needs filtering.”
③Validation over at least a few past years
“Will a logic that didn’t win in the past win in the future?”
Obviously difficult.
“If it won in the past, will it win in the future?”
The possibility is high.
It is hard to imagine a logic that won for 400 days yesterday, today, or tomorrow suddenly not working.
From this perspective, first build a logic that has at least a minimum track record of winning historically and
・Does not rely on parameters (for example, moving average 14 for USD/JPY and moving average 32 for EUR/USD is not acceptable)
・Works on multiple major currency pairs
・Works on multiple timeframes
Use ForexTester and MT4 Strategy Tester to validate the logic.
“Just guessing” is a waste of time.
With clear entry and exit criteria, prove that profits will increase.
④Test in actual trading
Here we verify whether emotions waver and whether discretion can win.
For example, if the position is held too long, or when you introduce discretion due to events, time of day, or holidays, does it still not lose?
We confirm whether it won’t lose.
By the time you get here, you hardly lose.
It’s enough for personal use, but if you consider selling or offering it, you should verbalize and create a trading manual.
⑤Make it adapt to market changes (important)
“Won for 400 days in the past. Can it win this week?” → YES
“Won for 400 days in the past. Can it win next month?” → YES
“Won for 400 days in the past. 400 days later?” → ?
Winning in the past is natural. It is the minimum condition.
However, if it cannot adapt to market changes, the edge will gradually erode.
Most sign tools assume “someday they will stop working.”
But “Otokosoku AI” has an internally developed microAI engine that continuously validates, allowing it to adapt flexibly to the market.
【Notice】
Beware of unvalidated sign tools
Beware of sign tools created without the validation→verification→tuning cycle described above, which encourage gambling.
No past validation results posted
Sign tools that do not publish objective validation results (not trade histories) for the past year are unreliable.
Also, even if a tool claims “I win,” your funds, time, and psychology vary per person, so it does not prove you will win with that tool.
Denying past validation
Some say, “Even if it won in the past, it won’t in the future, so we don’t publish past validation results.”
However, that raises the question: “If even in the past it didn’t win, how could it win in the future?”
If that person says, “In the past it won,” then they are ultimately following the logic that “if it won in the past, it will win in the future.”
In other words, there is no proven method to win other than having consistently won for a long period up to now.
The minimum you can say is, “If it has won so far, it might win this week, next month, or half a year later.”
Claiming only a specific scenario
“I could take 〇 pips in this moment!”
You too can sometimes take 〇 pips.
Anyone can win in a specific moment.
The difficult part is winning consistently over the long term.
The proof for this can only come from backtesting without discretion.
Development outsourced
Outsourcing EA or indicator development costs from around 50,000 yen per case.
Also, changing part of the logic during a review costs another 10,000 yen or more per change.
As mentioned, creating a winning logic requires many trials and tens of changes.
Outsourcing development can cost hundreds of thousands of yen before you get a satisfactory indicator.
In other words, outsourced indicators are likely to be unverified or high risk of being incomplete.
Are sign tools expensive?
The answer is “depends.”
As seen in the method for building a winning approach described above,
・No parameter dependence
・No emotional swings
・Almost no discretion
・Stability of winning for years
Realizing this without discretion is a significant undertaking.
How much have you blown as “tuition” for study?
Honestly,about 50,000 yenis, in terms of trading profits,an “hourly wage” level.
Simply reading books or attending unclear schools won’t make you win.
Because experience is needed to build winning logic.
To gain experience,losing hundreds of thousands of yen is normal.
However,if you can buy that hundreds of thousands worth of losses for just 50,000 yen and gain immediate winning from today,
it can be said to be overwhelmingly cheap.
✔ Verified
✔ AI continues to verify and remains effective long-term
Claiming only a specific scenario
