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I am a candlestick FX trader.

There are talks that the general election may be held,
today's Nikkei average rose sharply,
and concerns that Abenomics-style aggressive fiscal policy will accelerate further,
the yen depreciated.

Now, for about two years I have been listing my offerings,
and I have received inquiries and messages from various people.

Among them, the questions and worries I hear most often are,

「I have purchased various signal tools, EAs, and logics,
and even if I win temporarily, in total I end up negative,
and my funds hardly increase.
And I keep trying new tools, but
things never go well.
I don't know what to do anymore.”

That kind of thing.

I receive these questions truly every day.

I don’t know what tools or EAs or logics the person asking normally uses, but
from listening to their stories, most people seem to be using

“tools that had excellent performance in the past.”

Many people believe the equation

“great results in the past = will be great in the future”

and use them.

And when I was losing, I believed in this equation too.

I would just backtest the past and use the logic with good performance.

But at some point, the market is always changing,
so even if it performed brilliantly in the past,
it does not necessarily perform equally well in the future,
I began to think.

Around that time, the Great East Japan Earthquake of 2011 occurred,
the nuclear accident happened, and the myth that nuclear power plants are safe collapsed,
which in my mind became a trigger linking the market with real-world events.

There will always be unforeseen events in the world.

When that happens, the formulas that worked so far can turn on a dime and stop working.


And this happens in the market all the time.

There was a hedge fund called LTCM that existed,
and I always remember how it collapsed in just four years.

LTCM used a method to profit from tiny differences in bond yields,
but it leveraged massively in its trading.

They targeted bonds worldwide,
and among them, LTCM calculated that the probability of Russian debt default was 3 times in a million years.

However, due to the 1997 Asian financial crisis and the 1998 Russian debt crisis,
Russia declared default on its short-term government bonds,
and subsequently, the perception that emerging market bonds were dangerous spread rapidly,
leading LTCM to collapse.

LTCM included Nobel laureates and former FRB vice chairs,
and relied on advanced financial engineering theories for their operations.

And such brilliant, genius people
experienced something they believed would hardly happen, but it did occur.

From this, I strongly felt that markets are unpredictable,
unexpected events can always occur,
and one must keep this in mind.


Therefore, even if one had excellent past performance,
it is completely unreliable to assume similar results in the future.

And after understanding this and trading accordingly,
I began to win more often.

When chatting with many people,

“The market is always changing”

Those who truly understand this are still relatively few, it seems.


Regarding currency pairs as well,
the USD/JPY pair tended to be range-bound and was not very suited for trading.


However, in the past few years it began moving more significantly.

On the other hand, the pound-related pairs were known for big moves,
but lately GBP/USD has become a bit harder to trade.

Thus, the currency pairs that are easy to trade also change over the years.


Logic that worked in the past
can become unusable when the market changes this way.


Regarding the questions introduced at the beginning,
even tools or logics that performed brilliantly in the past
will stop working the moment the market changes if you keep using them as is.


And especially the selection of “currency pairs best suited for trading” and the timing or season for trading
greatly influences performance.

No matter how excellent the logic is,
if you trade at times or pairs that are not suited for trading, you won't win easily.


And there are quite a few people doing that.


I get the impression that many people purposely choose difficult currency pairs and trading times.


If you can correctly select the “currency pair suited for trading” and the timing,
most logics and tools work well.

In particular, my logic is designed to remain effective regardless of how the market changes in the future, so
by further correctly selecting the “currency pair suited for trading” and the timing and season,
its effectiveness will be amplified.


However, unfortunately, the choices of “currency pair suited for trading” and “timing and season” are constantly changing.


Therefore, even those recommended currency pairs may change next week!


So, how should we find the “currency pairs suited for trading” and the timing and season?
I have developed a method to do thiswithout discretion.

And when I published this method a few days ago,
I received a great number of delighted responses.

・After reading this, I realized I had been trading in hard-to-trade currency pairs.
・I didn’t know how to select currency pairs specifically, so this is very helpful!
・With signal tools bought elsewhere,
some times they performed well, other times not at all.
Since reading this, I can tell when to trade at a glance, so I can trade only during advantageous times.
・There wasn’t anyone who could teach this to me.
Most people sell signal tools or methods,
but they don’t tell you which currency pairs and when to trade to maximize power,
which is something beginners don’t understand about discretion or market awareness.
But with this method, anyone can trade without getting lost.







I have received feedback like this.

Indeed, many sellers offer tools, EAs, or logics that performed brilliantly in the past,
but they rarely tell you exactly which currency pair, time, and season to trade to maximize effect.
And the decision method often involves discretion or market-awareness aspects
that beginners cannot easily grasp.

I haven’t bought from other sellers, so I can’t be certain, but





I have received many messages like that.

Honestly, in favorable markets, most logics win.


In unfavorable markets, almost any logic loses.


The key is to trade only in favorable markets.


However, there was no method to choose that.

No matter how many tools or logics you obtain,
this is likely the main reason you cannot win consistently in FX.

By making this discretionary-free and easy for beginners to judge,
signals and logics that used to win sometimes and lose sometimes will be able to trade only during favorable times,
and your performance will improve dramatically.


To reiterate, for winning in FX,
it is not about obtaining tools or logics with excellent past performance,
but about selecting the right currency pair and timing to trade,
which is 100 times more important.

And this concrete method is described in the following article,
so if you have acquired various signal tools or logics but can’t seem to win,
please read it.



“A method to maximize profits without discretion”