[Path to a Dream_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Understanding & Memo_20260111]
January 11 is Sunday.
Hello.
The south Kanto region has a suspicious sky.
There are times when it clears up, and times when it is cloudy.
If we can go without rain, that would be fortunate.
Now, last week, due to U.S. indicators,
the direction moved significantly and the trend was confirmed.
Going forward, it seems the dollar will be bought.
Employment data showed a lot of movement up and down
and I missed the entry.
I will take my time and work carefully without rushing.
Now, let's confirm.
This is the number of closes on the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 13th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 24th / 8
Weekly volatility: 124 pips
Daily: HPC 2nd, 46th / 36
4HC 4th cycle, 40th / 6LT
I interpret it that way.
The charm of the Half Primary Cycle (HPC)
is evident in a strong dollar.
For a while, I think a bearish outlook is possible.
****************************
20260111_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/3amnd1Psx10
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 17th
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 17th / 17
Weekly volatility: 206 pips
Daily: HPC 2nd, 24th / 24
4HC 2nd cycle, 65th / 64
I interpret it this way.
This is also Half Primary Cycle (HPC),
but it is still in an uptrend
and the daily moving average remains in a perfect order ↑
indicating we should aim for a pullback buy.
However, I want to be cautious around the 4th wave of the uptrend.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 13th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 24th / 8LT
Weekly volatility: 128 pips
Daily: HPC 2nd, 46th / 43
4HC 4th cycle, 38th / 17LT
I interpret it this way.
The starting point break of HPC 2 is expected.
EUR/USD will break the daily chart 1 start earlier,
and we can continue to think with a bearish bias.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 18th
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 24th / 22
Weekly volatility: 143 pips
Daily: 3rd cycle, 24th / 12
4HC 3rd cycle, 6th / 5
I interpret it this way.
If USD/JPY rises are limited,
EUR/USD will be affected.
When EUR/USD weekly volatility increases,
it will pull prices down.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 18th
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 23rd / 23
Weekly volatility: 184 pips
HPC 2nd cycle, 46th / 43
4HC 5th cycle, 10th / 9
I interpret it this way.
GBP/USD turning bearish
and if USD/JPY rises only modestly,
GBP/JPY will form a bearish candle.
I would like to judge on lower timeframes.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 10th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 21st / 21
Weekly volatility: 137 pips
HPC 2nd cycle, 46th / 44
4HC 4th cycle, 10th / 9
I interpret it this way.
AUD/USD is influenced by U.S. stocks
and if U.S. stocks do not fall
AUD/USD may not decline?
As a result, is it a risk-on situation?
I view it as a difficult currency pair.
****************************
20260111_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/3amnd1Psx10
*****************************
*****************************
US10Y 4.169 +0.05%
DJI 49,504 dollars +237 dollars
US500 +0.51%
WTI 58.435 dollars
Nikkei 225 51,939 yen +822 yen
****************************
Let us learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168) 2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Noubitorei
Hello.
The south Kanto region has a suspicious sky.
There are times when it clears up, and times when it is cloudy.
If we can go without rain, that would be fortunate.
Now, last week, due to U.S. indicators,
the direction moved significantly and the trend was confirmed.
Going forward, it seems the dollar will be bought.
Employment data showed a lot of movement up and down
and I missed the entry.
I will take my time and work carefully without rushing.
Now, let's confirm.
This is the number of closes on the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 13th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 24th / 8
Weekly volatility: 124 pips
Daily: HPC 2nd, 46th / 36
4HC 4th cycle, 40th / 6LT
I interpret it that way.
The charm of the Half Primary Cycle (HPC)
is evident in a strong dollar.
For a while, I think a bearish outlook is possible.
****************************
20260111_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/3amnd1Psx10
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 17th
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 17th / 17
Weekly volatility: 206 pips
Daily: HPC 2nd, 24th / 24
4HC 2nd cycle, 65th / 64
I interpret it this way.
This is also Half Primary Cycle (HPC),
but it is still in an uptrend
and the daily moving average remains in a perfect order ↑
indicating we should aim for a pullback buy.
However, I want to be cautious around the 4th wave of the uptrend.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 13th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 24th / 8LT
Weekly volatility: 128 pips
Daily: HPC 2nd, 46th / 43
4HC 4th cycle, 38th / 17LT
I interpret it this way.
The starting point break of HPC 2 is expected.
EUR/USD will break the daily chart 1 start earlier,
and we can continue to think with a bearish bias.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 18th
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 24th / 22
Weekly volatility: 143 pips
Daily: 3rd cycle, 24th / 12
4HC 3rd cycle, 6th / 5
I interpret it this way.
If USD/JPY rises are limited,
EUR/USD will be affected.
When EUR/USD weekly volatility increases,
it will pull prices down.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 18th
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 23rd / 23
Weekly volatility: 184 pips
HPC 2nd cycle, 46th / 43
4HC 5th cycle, 10th / 9
I interpret it this way.
GBP/USD turning bearish
and if USD/JPY rises only modestly,
GBP/JPY will form a bearish candle.
I would like to judge on lower timeframes.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 10th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 21st / 21
Weekly volatility: 137 pips
HPC 2nd cycle, 46th / 44
4HC 4th cycle, 10th / 9
I interpret it this way.
AUD/USD is influenced by U.S. stocks
and if U.S. stocks do not fall
AUD/USD may not decline?
As a result, is it a risk-on situation?
I view it as a difficult currency pair.
****************************
20260111_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/3amnd1Psx10
*****************************
*****************************
US10Y 4.169 +0.05%
DJI 49,504 dollars +237 dollars
US500 +0.51%
WTI 58.435 dollars
Nikkei 225 51,939 yen +822 yen
****************************
Let us learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168) 2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Noubitorei
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