A completely discretionary-free mechanical trade is possible, but…
Hello, I am Riker, a full-time trader.
The "Polaris Alpha" that I developed allows for completely discretionary-free mechanical trading because entry, profit target, stop loss, and trailing stop are all displayed in the signal.
All of these are shown on the signals, enabling fully automated trading without discretion.
Manual operation is also kept to a minimum, and since you can run it by simply repeating the rules in a calm, methodical manner, it suits those who seek reproducible trades and are less swayed by emotions.
However... even the most excellent method has its strong and weak market phases, which is also true.
The Polaris Alpha logic is built on past statistical edge, but markets are always changing.
In particular, Polaris Alpha, a trend-following method, shines in trending markets, but its signal accuracy tends to decrease in range (sideways) markets.
Even inside the logic, we have designed it so signals are less likely to appear during ranges, but
it is impossible to eliminate them completely.
Therefore, what becomes effective is"discretion" compensation.
With the aim of improving accuracy in difficult markets, by incorporating environment recognition, time of day, and currency pair characteristics to select or discard signals, you can expect better performance than a fully mechanical approach.
Specifically, ideas include confirming trends on daily or 4-hour charts, using a volatility-based filter to determine ranges, and avoiding trades around major news releases.
But what you can feel assured about is that
this discretion is not mandatory but rather an “option.”
First, experience the reproducibility of the rules with a completely discretionary-free approach, and then gradually introduce discretion to match your trading style and risk tolerance.
Exactly which discretionary judgments to add is explained in detail in the companion manual’s advanced section, so those who wish to incorporate discretion can follow the steps and try them.
In summary, Polaris Alpha is
“start by trading mechanically to verify stability → in difficult markets, utilize the manual discretion know-how to improve accuracy”
and this two-stage approach is the most rational way to use it.
For detailed confirmation, see here:
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/indicators/63017
If you add effective discretionary judgment based on environmental recognition to the signal trading, Polaris Alpha’s 기대값 will increase further.