[EA Development] A review on whether a system purchased with an expensive multi-MLM product in the past can still be used today
Hello. This is 2pay.
Have you ever fallen for a multi-level marketing scheme?
I have. lol
I built a trading plan, bought a system, and in cafes in Shinjuku and Shibuya I heard daily talks about investments and network marketing.
Back then I was very strict about following the rules and operating the system, but after a few months I was still losing little by little, so I began to wonder, “Isn’t this not working?”
Since I couldn’t program, I was doing rough backtesting by hand, and gradually I started realizing the reality that I couldn’t win.
Nowadays I can say without even testing that it’s “useless,” but I’ll still do what‑if analyses about what would have happened if I had continued using it.
It’s long past the statute of limitations, so I will outline the rules of the system below.
Instrument: Nikkei 225
Time frame: M5
Trading hours: 8:45 ~ 9:30
・Buy when the smaller of MA25 and MA75 minus 40 yen is greater than the current price → SL 40 yen, TP 40 yen
・Sell when the larger of MA25 and MA75 plus 40 yen is less than the current price → SL 40 yen, TP 40 yen
It involves counter-trading when it deviates from the moving averages by a certain amount.
As long as the conditions are met within the time, you can trade any number of times.
Because the rules are quantitative, I will implement them in MQL5.
There are few places that handle Nikkei, so I will use ×M.
Test results (JP225 M5 2019-2025)
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Sorry the history quality is garbage, but even with rough performance you can tell it was “useless.”
I spent half a year on something like this. I should switch my mindset quickly.
What I want to say this time is, “Don’t take information at face value.”
Before purchasing this system, they explained based on documents that the performance had been rising for the last ten years.
However, when I actually bought and used it, it never made any profit. It was a complete overfitting.
This isn’t limited to multi-level marketing; it’s the same with EA sold on sales sites.
Even if past performance was good, future performance isn’t guaranteed.
If you can produce high results forward, it means it’s designed to function in the future without clinging to the past.
If you build it with the simple belief that “it worked in the past, so it will work in the future,” you will definitely fail.
When purchasing, it’s important to ask whether the seller is describing the product with a future-oriented perspective.
// Aside ---
Honestly, I don’t regret having fallen for multi-level marketing (I’ve completely escaped it now).
I knew it was shady, and I joined with the motive of wanting to experience it as part of life. lol
It’s more like I dove in myself rather than being deceived. There are things you can’t understand unless you’ve set foot in that environment.
I think it’s more weighty to reject something after understanding the reality.
In the end, the system was a dud, but the speaking skills, mind control, psychology, etc., still have parts that are useful.
Recently I haven’t been reading self-help books as much, but that’s because I’ve been practicing those things as daily routines since then, and there’s nothing new to learn.
Half of the conversations were people who spoke in dirty jokes, but I believe their dedication to achieving their goals was genuine.
Everyone sees through colored glasses, but those people are putting in laborious, blood‑sweating effort.
Investing also took a long time to succeed, but ironically the initial spark came from multi-level marketing.
If not for that, I wouldn’t be writing here like this.
There are other things I’ve tried, like religion and various other things, but I’ll tell you about them if there’s another opportunity.
This concludes the current content.
Thank you for reading.