The question from the purchaser was divine
Domo-ikura. Desu.
The day before yesterday, a buyer asked, “Since you won’t say that 10,000 to 200,000 or 20 to 30,000 with high leverage trades is possible, could you use the Byakko EA to aim to turn 10,000 into about 50,000 in a week?”
So I thought a little about whether it’s possible to achieve 500% in a week, i.e., fivefold.
At first I ran it in win-rate mode and thought that if I trade around 1:1.2 at the final step, I might be able to do it, so I tried and the result is
I successfully achieved it in the first three days. The trade just before the last one had lower volatility, and I manually settled it, but if I had left it, I could have made it in two days, so I think the efficiency is good as well.
Conversely, since there were few trials, I don’t know what happens if I repeat it many times, but getting it on the first try suggests a decent expected value.
If I simply calculate the expected value of the logic of this method,
“Win-rate mode with high leverage” has an approximate win rate of 90%–95% (10 runs) × “RR mode 1:1 to 1.5” with about 50% (1 run) = total win rate 17%–30%
From the margin, RR is 1:4
That means
A total win rate of 20% is a break-even point; if you lower the lot size to fall below the break-even point, the recovery period becomes a bit longer but it’s still doable, and
With a win rate of 25%, the expected value is about 2,500 yen
With a win rate of 30%, the expected value is about 5,000 yen, perhaps?
An excellent result!
This is a logic born from the buyer’s creative thinking!
I’m grateful for the opportunity to think of new ways to use it.
Thank you very much!
For a while, I plan to run this method.
【High-leverage capable semi-discretionary EA Byakko】
