[Market Analysis] Why is the crossed yen moving now? A quick +43 pips on CHF/JPY rebound selling
In this article,
・Reasons why the current cross-yen moves easily (market environment)
・Points actually captured in CHF/JPY
・Background that makes cross-yen a frequent opportunity
will be explained together.
■ Reasons why cross-yen tends to fall (yen selling dominates)
In recent days, the forex market has a setup where “yen is weak → cross-yen moves easily.”
① Prolonged high U.S. long-term rates → yen selling tends to continue
As the U.S. economy is strong and inflation indicators are persistent,
U.S. rates stay high → yen is sold through carry trades
continues.
② Japan’s fiscal concerns and government bond risk are increasingly in focus
In Japan, discussions around expanded fiscal spending and rising long-term rates arise,
“Bond risk → few reasons to buy yen”is the structure.
③ Market is not yet fully cautious, with only “interventions” as a deterrent
Although the government and the BOJ are making verbal interventions,
there are no strong yen-buying catalysts → yen-selling remains advantaged.
■ CHF/JPY trading content (+43 pips): why the pullback sell worked
Today CHF/JPY formed a clean retracement,
with a clear selling opportunity visible on the 5-minute chart.
● Points
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Tenkan indicator suggested rising volatility
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Price action prone to larger moves
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Retracement timing aligned with trend continuation
■ Note: Dollar/Yen also in an environment where “5-minute opportunities” are easy to find
Today's market environment is
・U.S. interest rates are strong
・No yen-buying catalysts on the Japanese side
・Cross-yen volatility expanding overall
conditions that align,
making pullbacks in USD/JPY common and increasing the waves of trend continuationstate.
■ Today’s summary: Cross-yen still prone to rising “opportunity waves”
Today CHF/JPY pullback selling fit perfectly,+43 pips.
With cross-yen moving easily in the current market,
entry points tend to increase.
When market waves appear, simply take them.
This boosts the expected value of short-term trades.
■ The Eyes series that visualizes market “waves”
As with this CHF/JPY trade,
“where are pullbacks or retracements likely to occur”
“whether current price action carries volatility”
this assessment alone greatly increases high-probability entries.
The Eyes indicators include,
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Strength of the trend
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Temporary acceleration
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Propensity for price range expansion
-
Possibility of reversal points
They clarify these “bases for judgment” on the chart,
making it easy to ride the waves in markets like today.a major feature.
“When the market moves, you jump on immediately”
“Conversely, when it doesn’t move, you don’t take a position”
This decisiveness is a real strength for short-term traders.
▶ Reason why it is suitable for those who want to stabilize trading quality
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High repeatability of entry points
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Alerts even if you aren’t glued to the screen
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Easy to refrain from trading when volatility is low
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Less likely to miss the moment to ride the wave
After reading this article,
“I want to enter at this timing, but I hesitate in practice…”
If you feel that way, this is especially compatible.