[Path to Dream_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Recognition and Memo_20251026]
It's Sunday, October 26.
Hello.
It has shifted quite from autumn to winter in
the South Kanto region.
Because the cold days continue
please be careful with your health management.
This week is the end of the month.
Be careful when holding positions.
You might not be able to take your eyes off it.
Last week
considering the head and resistance of USD/JPY
we were almost in a situation where trading was not possible.
Even if entered, stop loss was hit, or
it executed at the price of the bid,
we gave up halfway.
If the theory holds this week,
a take-profit for USD/JPY could be conceivable.
Now, let's confirm.
The numbers are at the close of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 10th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 13th/8
Weekly volatility: 98 pips
Daily: 2nd cycle, 12th/7
4-hour? 1st cycle, 67th/33 or
4-hour? 2nd cycle, 15th/13
I interpret it as such.
From the daily starting point, it has retraced once,
but since it rose without breaking down,
the upside bias remains.
Because Trump’s overseas trip is involved,
I think the dollar may weaken.
That’s my view.
****************************
20251026_FX_MarketEnvironment_VideoCommentary
https://youtu.be/0khHerH8m1g
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 14th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 27th/25
Weekly volatility: 279 pips
Daily: 4th cycle, 28th/18
4-hour: 3rd cycle, 34th/31
I interpret it as such.
If it surpasses 153.27 in the future,
the weekly chart would switch,
and the daily chart would become the 1st.
Then, USD/JPY could continue to rise.
I think so.
However, this week is the end of the month
and Trump’s visit to Japan
as well as the BOJ meeting
could lead to a rate hike announcement in December,
which would likely push the yen higher.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 10th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 13th/8
Weekly volatility: 155 pips
Daily: 2nd cycle, 9th/4
4-hour: 1st or 5th, 51st/17
I interpret it as such.
The 4-hour chart visually looks downsloping,
but if a starting point break occurs,
the daily chart continuation scenario becomes visible.
And,
a possible Half Primary Cycle (HPC)
could unfold.
I’d like to observe how the month-end flow will affect it.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 15th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 35th/33
Weekly volatility: 258 pips
Daily: 5th cycle, 17th/6
4-hour: 2nd cycle? 34th/32
I think so.
The key is whether it surpasses 177.9.
I’m watching that.
If EUR/USD rises more than USD/JPY falls,
a new high would not form, but if a new high occurs,
the daily 1st scenario may come into play.
It will depend on USD/JPY.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 15th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 29th/27
Weekly volatility: 216 pips
Daily: 4th cycle, 17th/5
4-hour: 2nd cycle, 34th/32
I interpret it as such.
Among cross-yen pairs, the 4-hour chart is the farthest from making new highs.
I’m curious about the month-end flow’s impact.
Because the range is large, I will also watch GBP/USD closely.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 7th
Weekly: 1st cycle, 29th/27
Weekly volatility: 197 pips
Daily: 4th cycle, 6th/6
4-hour: 1st cycle, 34th/32
I think so.
It is a 4-hour chart similar in shape to GBP/JPY.
If I believe there will be no further new highs,
the starting point break from 4-hour 1 could be in scope for Oceania.
****************************
20251026_FX_MarketEnvironment_VideoCommentary
https://youtu.be/0khHerH8m1g
*****************************
*****************************
US10Y 4.003 +1.26%
DJI 47207 dollars +472 dollars
US500 +0.75%
WTI 61.075 dollars
Nikkei 225 49299 yen +658 yen
****************************
Let’s learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168)_2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
noubitorei
Hello.
It has shifted quite from autumn to winter in
the South Kanto region.
Because the cold days continue
please be careful with your health management.
This week is the end of the month.
Be careful when holding positions.
You might not be able to take your eyes off it.
Last week
considering the head and resistance of USD/JPY
we were almost in a situation where trading was not possible.
Even if entered, stop loss was hit, or
it executed at the price of the bid,
we gave up halfway.
If the theory holds this week,
a take-profit for USD/JPY could be conceivable.
Now, let's confirm.
The numbers are at the close of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 10th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 13th/8
Weekly volatility: 98 pips
Daily: 2nd cycle, 12th/7
4-hour? 1st cycle, 67th/33 or
4-hour? 2nd cycle, 15th/13
I interpret it as such.
From the daily starting point, it has retraced once,
but since it rose without breaking down,
the upside bias remains.
Because Trump’s overseas trip is involved,
I think the dollar may weaken.
That’s my view.
****************************
20251026_FX_MarketEnvironment_VideoCommentary
https://youtu.be/0khHerH8m1g
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 14th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 27th/25
Weekly volatility: 279 pips
Daily: 4th cycle, 28th/18
4-hour: 3rd cycle, 34th/31
I interpret it as such.
If it surpasses 153.27 in the future,
the weekly chart would switch,
and the daily chart would become the 1st.
Then, USD/JPY could continue to rise.
I think so.
However, this week is the end of the month
and Trump’s visit to Japan
as well as the BOJ meeting
could lead to a rate hike announcement in December,
which would likely push the yen higher.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 10th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 13th/8
Weekly volatility: 155 pips
Daily: 2nd cycle, 9th/4
4-hour: 1st or 5th, 51st/17
I interpret it as such.
The 4-hour chart visually looks downsloping,
but if a starting point break occurs,
the daily chart continuation scenario becomes visible.
And,
a possible Half Primary Cycle (HPC)
could unfold.
I’d like to observe how the month-end flow will affect it.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 15th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 35th/33
Weekly volatility: 258 pips
Daily: 5th cycle, 17th/6
4-hour: 2nd cycle? 34th/32
I think so.
The key is whether it surpasses 177.9.
I’m watching that.
If EUR/USD rises more than USD/JPY falls,
a new high would not form, but if a new high occurs,
the daily 1st scenario may come into play.
It will depend on USD/JPY.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 15th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 29th/27
Weekly volatility: 216 pips
Daily: 4th cycle, 17th/5
4-hour: 2nd cycle, 34th/32
I interpret it as such.
Among cross-yen pairs, the 4-hour chart is the farthest from making new highs.
I’m curious about the month-end flow’s impact.
Because the range is large, I will also watch GBP/USD closely.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 7th
Weekly: 1st cycle, 29th/27
Weekly volatility: 197 pips
Daily: 4th cycle, 6th/6
4-hour: 1st cycle, 34th/32
I think so.
It is a 4-hour chart similar in shape to GBP/JPY.
If I believe there will be no further new highs,
the starting point break from 4-hour 1 could be in scope for Oceania.
****************************
20251026_FX_MarketEnvironment_VideoCommentary
https://youtu.be/0khHerH8m1g
*****************************
*****************************
US10Y 4.003 +1.26%
DJI 47207 dollars +472 dollars
US500 +0.75%
WTI 61.075 dollars
Nikkei 225 49299 yen +658 yen
****************************
Let’s learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168)_2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
noubitorei
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