[Trajectory to Dreams_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Awareness & Memo_20251019]
October 19th, Sunday.
Hello.
Is the morning clear?
I thought so, but
rain started to fall contrary to the forecast.
Today as well, I will continue living as a “caged person.”
I would like to処理 (process) a little bit at a time.
I want to tackle things little by little.
I created some Day’s Care products.
Today alone I have two sales achievements
and I want to be grateful for what I can contribute.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
Well then, let's check it out.
It will be the number of units at the close of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 10th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 12th / 8
Weekly volatility: 185 pips
Daily: 2nd cycle, 7th / 7
4-hourly: 1st cycle, 37th / 33
We are treating it as such.
When will the government shutdown解除 (lifted)?
What will happen to the U.S. dollar after that?
This is the theme for this week.
From a broad perspective, the view may be bullish.
1.1641 seems to be a high-probability starting point on the daily chart.
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20251019_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/wzt8PLFou60
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【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 14th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 26th / 25
Weekly volatility: 323 pips
Daily: 4th cycle, 23rd / 18
4-hour: 3rd cycle, 4th / 4
We are treating it as such.
Probably the 4th hourly is completed
and has moved to the 3rd 4-hour cycle.
For a while, technically the outlook is bullish
and if Sanemi (Santax) is added here
there is a possibility of a rapid rise.
Caution is advised.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 10th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 12th / 8
Weekly volatility: 222 pips
Daily: 2nd cycle, 4th / 4
4-hour: 1st cycle, 21st / 17
We are treating it as such.
The dollar stops may be interpreted as daily chart turning
so a rise or a box pattern seems possible.
If the government shutdown is解除,
which direction will it move?
Even looking at currency strength
GBP/USD doesn’t show a large difference in power balance,
so we are in wait-and-see mode.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 15th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 34th / 33
Weekly volatility: 209 pips
Daily: 5th cycle, 12th / 6
4-hour: 2nd cycle, 4th / 2
We are treating it as such.
The 4-hour cycle switching is considered,
for a while the outlook is bullish or box.
In the early part of the week, a bullish candle may appear,
so I want to watch carefully.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 15th
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 28th / 27
Weekly volatility: 511 pips
Daily: 4th cycle, 12th / 6
4-hour: 2nd cycle, 4th / 4
We are treating it as such.
We are watching how far the 4-hour second cycle can rise.
If USD/JPY rises significantly,
there is a high possibility of a bullish candlestick rush, but
soon we want to confirm a bearish candle.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 7th
Weekly: 1st cycle, 28th / 27
Weekly volatility: 323 pips
Daily: 4th cycle, 1st / 1 or
Daily: 4th cycle, 12th / 6LT
4-hour: 1st or 2nd, 4th / 4
We are treating it as such.
If AUD/USD falls and
USD/JPY falls,
AUD/JPY will form a large bearish candlestick.
USD/JPY being influenced by Japanese politics and
AUD by the Chinese economy.
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20251019_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/wzt8PLFou60
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US10Y 4.011 +0.91%
DJI 46,190 dollars +238
US500 +0.81%
WTI 57.005 dollars
Nikkei225 47,582 yen −695
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Let us learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168) 2】
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