[Amidashi style: dominating the market with volume profile] FX Practice: USDCAD trade analysis – October 6, 2025
October 6, 2025, Japan Time 16:14 (at the time of image analysis), USDCAD's 15-minute chart was analyzed.
At this time, while the price was clearly in a downtrend, there was a strong bullish reversal (rapid rise) just beforehand, but it was rejected (rejection) near the high price area and reversed downward (center of the chart shows “rejection signal”). This surge and rejection movement suggested strong selling pressure in the short-term high-price zone, and I obtained a basis to set up a return-selling (short) setup when the price retraced back to the pre-surge level.
After the sharp rise, I applied the Volume Profile to identify the AOC (Area of Control). This zone overlapped with a supply zone where the price surged but could not settle and reversed, so I viewed it as likely to see selling again upon revisiting (orange zone on the chart indicates AOC).
Entry: Sell Limit near the upper bound of the AOC zone (1.39824
Stop Loss: placed at 1.39862
Take Profit: targeted near the recent support level or toward the left-side low area, around 1.39766
In this trade, the risk-reward (RR) was approximately 1:1.5 (Stop Loss: 1.39862 1.39824 1.39824 1.39766 rejection signal in a downtrend with Volume Profile's AOC, I believe I achieved a higher-probability entry.
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